Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001174 0.001323 0.001473 0.001634 0.001800 0.001968 0.002149
2025-12-07 0.000947 0.001164 0.001388 0.001633 0.001894 0.002161 0.002454
2025-12-14 0.000744 0.001008 0.001288 0.001603 0.001944 0.002298 0.002691
2025-12-21 0.000622 0.000925 0.001256 0.001637 0.002055 0.002494 0.002986
2025-12-28 0.000480 0.000806 0.001175 0.001608 0.002091 0.002604 0.003185
2026-01-04 0.000381 0.000726 0.001130 0.001613 0.002160 0.002746 0.003414
2026-01-11 0.000288 0.000642 0.001073 0.001599 0.002203 0.002856 0.003605
2026-01-18 0.000212 0.000569 0.001023 0.001589 0.002246 0.002963 0.003789
2026-01-25 0.000127 0.000467 0.000930 0.001523 0.002222 0.002991 0.003884
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000400 0.000875 0.001497 0.002240 0.003065 0.004026
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000356 0.000845 0.001501 0.002289 0.003171 0.004203
2026-02-15 0.000021 0.000328 0.000834 0.001524 0.002361 0.003301 0.004405
2026-02-22 0.000006 0.000304 0.000841 0.001587 0.002499 0.003528 0.004740
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000248 0.000797 0.001583 0.002559 0.003669 0.004982
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000184 0.000732 0.001551 0.002584 0.003769 0.005178
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000155 0.000718 0.001583 0.002686 0.003956 0.005472
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000105 0.000660 0.001554 0.002710 0.004053 0.005663
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000076 0.000630 0.001559 0.002776 0.004196 0.005905
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000588 0.001545 0.002815 0.004307 0.006110
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000023 0.000551 0.001534 0.002857 0.004421 0.006315
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000002 0.000479 0.001469 0.002828 0.004447 0.006420
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000437 0.001444 0.002847 0.004530 0.006587
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000415 0.001447 0.002901 0.004653 0.006800